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Machine learning with UCF and AdventHealth, predicting hypoglycemic events in Type 1 Diabetes.

AACE 2025 conference poster: Assessing the Severity of Hypoglycemia and Recovery Time to Normoglycemia in Older Adults with Type 1 Diabetes using CGM data, Machine Learning Insights from the WISDM Study, authored by A. Bilal, A. Wu, A. Arguetta, B. Rosenberg, Y. Nunez-Lopez, R. Pratley, and A. Casu

Click the poster to zoom in and read it

Published: conference co-author

Undergraduate CS Department Researcher | Co-Author, AACE 2025 Publication

AACE 2025 · Orlando, FL · University of Central Florida & AdventHealth Translational Research Institute · May 2024 to May 2025

For a year, I worked as a research assistant in a UCF Computer Science lab partnered with AdventHealth, trying to predict when a person with Type 1 Diabetes is about to have a hypoglycemic event, and how severe and how long it will last. I built the data pipeline in Python with pandas and NumPy, then trained and compared linear regression, decision trees, random forest, and XGBoost models with scikit-learn to see which one actually predicted these events best.

Most of the real work was in the data. I wrote scripts to load, clean, and organize more than 10,000 patient records from Type 1 Diabetes patients, then pulled out the features that mattered: continuous glucose monitor and blood glucose meter readings, glucose variability, the rate of change in blood sugar, and insulin dosage patterns. Getting those features right made a bigger difference to the models than almost anything else I tried. After a lot of tuning, I got the error on our best model down to 6.02.

I met weekly with a research partner and a research professor to plan the next steps and review the code, and I worked directly with endocrinologists and diabetes specialists at AdventHealth to turn the raw numbers into charts and findings a doctor could actually use. That work became a poster, "Assessing the Severity of Hypoglycemia and Recovery Time to Normoglycemia in Older Adults with Type 1 Diabetes using CGM data: Machine Learning Insights from the WISDM Study," which I co-authored with Anika Bilal, Annie Wu, Angel Arguetta, Yury Nunez-Lopez, Richard Pratley, and Anna Casu, and which we presented at AACE 2025 in Orlando.

See the original poster presentation on LinkedIn

Foundational research

Machine learning prediction of severity and duration of hypoglycemic events in type 1 diabetes patients

FLAIRS-37, 2024 · Earlier published paper from the same lab

Written by Annie S. Wu, Eashan Singh, Ivy Zhang, Anika Bilal, Anna Casu, and Richard Pratley, published before I joined the project.

When I joined the lab, this was the paper I was handed to get up to speed, the first model built to predict hypoglycemic event severity and duration across the general Type 1 Diabetes population. Our AACE 2025 poster grew out of it, taking the same basic approach and applying it specifically to older adults using the WISDM study data. I wanted it here so the research reads as a straight line: this is where the project started, and the poster above is where I picked it up and took it further.

Read the published paper